Higher inflation for longer

Global Market Review Intensifying inflationary pressures The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that the world is facing inflationary pressures that will be “higher and longer than expected”. During October, US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell commented: “We now see higher inflation and the bottlenecks lasting well into next year … I do think it’s time … Continue reading “Higher inflation for longer”

Gathering clouds

Global Market Review Questions over growth Investor sentiment during September was a hostage to concerns over faltering economic growth, rising inflation, surging energy prices, and an increasingly hawkish tone from central banks, compounded by speculation that Chinese real estate giant Evergrande might be on the verge of collapse. Tapering moves closer in the US The … Continue reading “Gathering clouds”

Will the Bank of England be raising interest rates soon?

Until recently, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which has responsibility for setting interest rates, was undecided if conditions were right for tightening monetary policy. Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England (BoE), revealed in August that the MPC could not categorically say that there was clear evidence that significant progress … Continue reading “Will the Bank of England be raising interest rates soon?”

Economic Review September 2021

Upgrade to UK GDP growth The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has revised UK economic growth for Q2 2021 to 5.5% from an original estimate of 4.8%. The UK’s level of GDP is now 3.3% below where it was pre-pandemic in Q4 2019, revised from the previous estimate of 4.4% below. Other ONS data indicates … Continue reading “Economic Review September 2021”

Economic Review August 2021

Strong second quarter growth The latest gross domestic product (GDP) figures showed that the UK economy grew strongly in the second quarter, although more recent survey evidence does suggest the recovery is losing momentum. Data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed the economy grew by 4.8% in the second quarter of this … Continue reading “Economic Review August 2021”

Five things to watch out for in the rest of 2021

The economic restart is well under way, with buoyant economic data emerging from most major economies. However, the world can only reopen once and we are entering the ‘post-restart’ era, with potentially slower growth. What do investors need to look out for in this new environment? Inflation running hot It’s the obvious choice, but it … Continue reading “Five things to watch out for in the rest of 2021”

Inflation falling? No-one is fooled

The latest inflation figures have no-one fooled. While CPI dropped back to the tidy level of 2%, most economists do not take it as a sign that inflationary pressures are over. Many have been quick to point out that there are myriad factors likely to push inflation higher for the remainder of the year. What’s … Continue reading “Inflation falling? No-one is fooled”

Global Market Review – June 2021

  Global Market Review Growth and inflation are on the rise Prospects for inflation and interest rates continued to garner headlines during June as investors digested news of rising prices alongside a more hawkish tone from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Share prices were knocked by speculation that gathering inflationary pressures could encourage central banks … Continue reading “Global Market Review – June 2021”

Economic Review June 2021

MPC maintains monetary stance Following its latest meeting held on 22 June, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) judged that the existing monetary stance remains appropriate, despite inflation rising above the Bank of England’s target level. Data released last month by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate – … Continue reading “Economic Review June 2021”

Looking back at the markets through May 2021

A selection of articles looking back through the markets last month.   Global Market Review Markets gripped by inflation fears Although global equity markets generally ended May in positive territory, investor sentiment during the month was affected by growing concerns that mounting inflationary pressures could lead to higher interest rates. “The shadow of Covid-19 is … Continue reading “Looking back at the markets through May 2021”